Serie C, Girone A
Carpi vs Lumezzane Prediction: a narrow Lumezzane win
Our model makes Carpi vs Lumezzane a narrow Lumezzane win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and high confidence at 3640%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 207 wins and 94 losses from 301 settled picks, a 68.8% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 35 percent Carpi, 29 percent the draw and 36 percent Lumezzane. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.2 goals from Carpi and 1.5 from Lumezzane, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.