Livescore predictions todayFootball tips for Fri 30 Oct

146 picks today across 40 matches in 26 competitions, each with the model's confidence.

• SuperligaLock21:30
  FC Rapid București

  vs

  FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc
  FC Rapid București to win

  73
• Eerste DivisieLock22:00
  FC Volendam

  vs

  De Graafschap
  Over 2.5 goals

  73
• Liga Portugal BetclicLock23:15
  Casa Pia

  vs

  Sporting CP
  Sporting CP to win

  73
• EliteserienLock21:00
  Bodø/Glimt

  vs

  Viking FK
  Over 2.5 goals

  72
• La LigaLock23:00
  Villarreal

  vs

  Espanyol
  Villarreal to win

  67
• Eerste DivisieLock22:00
  RKC Waalwijk

  vs

  Almere City FC
  Over 2.5 goals

  66

Value picks

• Ligue 2Value22:00
  Stade Lavallois

  vs

  US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale
  Over 8.5 corners

  61

By market

Eight markets, each with its own page explaining how it is modelled and what tends to go wrong with it.

Competitions with picks today

• Eerste Divisie21
• Saudi Pro League12
• Ligue 111
• Ligue 210
• 2. Bundesliga8
• Eliteserien7
• Pro League6
• La Liga6
• Bundesliga6
• National League6
• Superettan6
• Parva Liga5
• Superliga4
• Liga Portugal Betclic4
• Nigeria Premier Football League4
• Danish Superliga4
• Ekstraklasa4
• Serie C, Girone B3
• Trendyol Super Lig3
• Liga 33

Today's builds

• Acca of the dayA multi-match slip built from the higher-confidence picks, with the combined price and an honest read on the risk.
• Banker of the dayThe single highest-confidence call across every match and market today.

Tips by country

• Tips for Uganda
• Tips for Tanzania
• Tips for Nigeria
• Tips for Ghana
• Tips for Zambia
• Tips for Malawi

By competition

• Champions LeagueNo fixtures in the window
• Premier LeagueNo fixtures in the window
• AFCONNo fixtures in the window
• How the model worksThe data, the confidence score, and what it cannot do

The model reads recent form, expected goals, home and away splits and head-to-head history, then scores each market it is willing to call. It publishes a pick only where the number clears the bar for that market, which is why the count changes from day to day. It has no inside knowledge and cannot see the future.

Over the last 14 days it has settled 309 wins and 147 losses from 456 calls, a 67.8% strike rate. Losses included, because a record you cannot audit is worth nothing. Check every one.

How to use today's tips

Start with the confidence number. A pick at 80 percent is one the model is far more sure of than a pick at 60, and the higher-confidence calls sit at the top of each market. Then pick the market that matches how you like to play: match result if you want a straight winner, double chance or draw no bet if you want a safety net, over 2.5 or both teams to score if you back goals. Check the fixture page for the reasoning before you decide, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. Odds move, so confirm the price with a licensed operator before you place anything.

How the Tips44 model works

The model is built on data, not opinion. For every fixture it looks at recent form over the last several matches, expected goals scored and conceded, how each side performs at home versus away, and the head-to-head record between the two teams. It turns that into a probability for each market, and it only publishes a pick when that probability clears the bar we set for that market. If nothing clears the bar in a market on a given day, that market shows no picks rather than a forced call. This is why the number of tips changes from day to day. Read the full methodology.

Reading the confidence score

The confidence figure is the model's estimated probability that the pick lands, from the same maths that produced the pick. It is not a guarantee and it is not tied to any bookmaker's odds. A 70 percent call will still lose roughly three times in ten over a season, which is exactly why we publish every settled pick, wins and losses, so you can see how the confidence numbers have actually performed.

When today's tips update

Picks refresh every 30 minutes through the day as team news and kickoff times firm up, so it is worth a second look closer to kickoff. Tomorrow's fixtures appear once the day's data is in.