Draw no bet tips today

Updated 23 October at 02:14 EAT (23:14 UTC)

Here are today's draw no bet tips. The model is calling 29 picks across 23 competitions, the strongest being Atlético Nacional (draw no bet) at 85 percent. Each shows the model's confidence, and each settles in public against the real final score once the match ends. Draw no bet is a call on which team wins, with the draw taken out. If the match ends level the stake is returned rather than lost, so you are backing a side to win without being punished for a stalemate.

Public record

Draw no bet picks are not in the settled record yet, so treat them as untracked until they are added. The figure below covers the markets we do settle.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 265 wins and 135 losses from 400 settled picks, a 66.3% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Draw no bet picks

Also qualifying

How we model draw no bet

The model redistributes the draw probability across the two sides in proportion to how likely each was to win outright, which is what the market itself does when it prices the line. That gives a clean two-way probability from the same 1X2 inputs.

Where draw no bet goes wrong

Removing the draw is not free. The price is meaningfully shorter than backing the same team in the match result market, so it only pays off where the draw was a genuine risk rather than a formality. Back a heavy favourite here and you are paying for insurance you did not need.

Draw no bet tips, frequently asked questions

What happens if the match is a draw?

Your stake is returned. Draw no bet is void on a level match rather than lost.

Is draw no bet better than double chance?

They solve different problems. Draw no bet refunds on a draw, double chance pays out on one. Compare the prices and decide which risk you would rather carry.

How are these predictions made?

By a data model, not by opinion or inside information. Read the full methodology.

Other markets today

All of today's football tipsEvery market on one page, strongest first.View

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