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Over 1.5 goals tips today

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Here are today's over 1.5 goals tips. The model is calling 9 picks across 7 competitions, the strongest being Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent. Each shows the model's confidence, and each settles in public against the real final score once the match ends. Over 1.5 goals wins as soon as the second goal of the match goes in, from either side, at any point including stoppage time. A 1-1, a 2-0 or a 4-3 all win it. A 1-0 or a 0-0 does not.

Public record

Over 1.5 goals: 7 settled picks in the last 14 days, fewer than the 10 needed before we quote a rate for it.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 265 wins and 135 losses from 400 settled picks, a 66.3% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Over 1.5 goals picks

How we model over 1.5 goals

It comes from the same expected-goals model that produces the other totals lines, reading both attacks and both defences rather than averaging past scorelines. Because the bar is so low, this market only qualifies on fixtures where the model sees a genuinely open game.

Where over 1.5 goals goes wrong

This only appears here above 80 percent, because below that the price is too short to be worth anyone reading a tips page for. Even at 85 percent, roughly one match in seven finishes with a single goal or none, and a nervy cup tie or a wet pitch is exactly where that happens.

Over 1.5 goals tips, frequently asked questions

What does over 1.5 goals mean?

Two or more total goals in the match, counting both teams.

Does 1-0 win over 1.5 goals?

No. One goal is not enough. You need at least two, from either side.

How are these predictions made?

By a data model, not by opinion or inside information. Read the full methodology.

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