Double chance tips today

Updated 23 October at 22:00 EAT (19:00 UTC)

Here are today's double chance tips. The model is calling 194 picks across 53 competitions over the next 2 days, the strongest being MC Alger or draw at 85 percent. Each shows the model's confidence, and each settles in public against the real final score once the match ends. Double chance covers two of the three possible results in one pick, so "home or draw" wins if the home side wins or the match is drawn, and only a home defeat breaks it. Lower risk means lower odds, so it suits steady staking rather than big returns.

Public record

Double chance picks are not in the settled record yet, so treat them as untracked until they are added. The figure below covers the markets we do settle.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 272 wins and 136 losses from 408 settled picks, a 66.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Double chance picks

Also qualifying

Showing the strongest 60 of 194. The rest sit close enough to the bar that the ordering below here is noise.

How we model double chance

Double chance is the match result model with a safety net, and the arithmetic is exact rather than modelled separately: the probability of "home or draw" is the probability of a home win plus the probability of a draw, from the same 1X2 numbers. Where the model sees a likely winner but a real chance of a draw, this turns that into a higher-probability pick.

Where double chance goes wrong

Upsets still happen, and the one outcome you left out is the one that lands. Because the odds are short, often between 1.20 and 1.45, a single loss wipes out several wins, so discipline on stake size matters more here than anywhere else on the site.

Double chance tips, frequently asked questions

What is double chance?

A single bet covering two of the three match results at once, so you only lose if the outcome you left out happens.

Is double chance worth it?

It trades a shorter price for a higher hit rate. Double chance picks are not in our settled public record yet, so judge them on the reasoning shown with each pick until they are.

How are these predictions made?

By a data model, not by opinion or inside information. Read the full methodology.

Other markets today

All of today's football tipsEvery market on one page, strongest first.View

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