The Tips44 record, every pick we have made

This is every tip the model has published, settled against the real final score, wins and losses together. Over the last 14 days that is 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 calls, a 68% strike rate. Most tips sites show you a highlight reel and an accuracy figure nobody can check. We show you everything, because a record you cannot audit is worth nothing, and because you deserve to know how the model has actually done before you trust it.

Strike rate by market

• Match result224W 109L67.3%
• Over 2.5 goals74W 33L69.2%
• Both teams to score6W 3Ltoo few
• Over 1.5 goals6W 0Ltoo few

Judge each market against its own price. A high strike rate on a short-priced market is not the same achievement as the same rate on a long one.

Strike rate by confidence band

• 80% and above37W 8L82.2%
• 70 to 79%80W 17L82.5%
• 60 to 69%150W 79L65.5%
• Below 60%43W 41L51.2%

This is the harder test, and the one worth reading. It asks whether the confidence figure on every card actually means anything. If the 70 to 79 band lands near three quarters of the time, the number is doing its job. If it does not, the number is decoration, and you can see that here rather than take our word for it.

How we settle a pick

A pick is settled automatically the moment the match finishes, against the official final score, and it never moves after that. Wins and losses are counted the same way for every market. Nothing is quietly deleted, revised or re-tiered after the fact, and the same grading function that publishes a pick is the one that settles it, so a call graded a lock yesterday is still a lock here.

How to read the record honestly

A high strike rate on a safe market like double chance is not the same as a high strike rate on correct score, because the odds are completely different. Judge each market on its own, look at how the confidence bands have performed, and remember that even a strong long-run record includes losing days. That is the nature of football, and any site that hides it is selling you something.

Note also what this record does not include: WATCH-tier picks are published for depth but never counted here, because we do not claim credit for calls we did not stand behind. The figures above are locks and value picks only. How the model works.

Informational only. Outcomes are settled automatically against the final score. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. 18+. Past performance does not guarantee future results.