Correct score tips todayPicks for Mon 26 Oct
Updated
Here are today's correct score tips. The model is calling 59 picks across 21 competitions over the next 2 days, the strongest being 0-0 in FC Bravos do Maquis vs Atlético Petróleos de Luanda at 18 percent. Each shows the model's confidence, and each settles in public against the real final score once the match ends. Correct score asks you to call the exact final result, so 2-1 wins only on 2-1. It is the hardest market on the site to win, which is why the odds are long and the confidence numbers are modest. Treat these as small-stake picks, not bankers.
Public record
Correct score picks are not in the settled record yet, so treat them as untracked until they are added. The figure below covers the markets we do settle.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Most likely scorelines
- FC Bravos do Maquis v Atlético Petróleos de LuandaGirabola0-017.7%
- Instituto De Córdoba v Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional de Fútbol1-017.4%
- FC Bravos do Maquis v Atlético Petróleos de LuandaGirabola0-017.2%
- Arda Kardzhali v Levski SofiaParva Liga0-114.3%
- Millonarios v América de CaliCategoría Primera A1-013.7%
- Flamengo v Atlético MineiroBrasileirão Serie A1-013.6%
- América Mineiro v CuiabáBrasileirão Serie B1-113.4%
- Recreativo da Caala v Primeiro de AgostoGirabola1-113.4%
- Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe v Estudiantes de La PlataLiga Profesional de Fútbol1-113.3%
- Jaguares de Córdoba v Llaneros FCCategoría Primera A1-113.1%
- Torreense v Amarante FCLiga Portugal 21-113.0%
- Ascoli v SampdoriaSerie B1-012.8%
- Padova v SüdtirolSerie B1-112.7%
- Walsall v Salford CityLeague Two1-112.6%
- Independiente Santa Fe v Atlético BucaramangaCategoría Primera A1-112.6%
- Virtus Entella v US Avellino 1912Serie B1-112.5%
- Juventude v NáuticoBrasileirão Serie B1-112.4%
- Leicester City v Wigan AthleticLeague One1-112.4%
- Altrincham FC v Kidderminster HarriersNational League1-112.4%
- Coritiba v GrêmioBrasileirão Serie A1-112.3%
- Sassuolo v LazioSerie A1-112.3%
- Sheffield Wednesday v Cambridge UnitedLeague One1-112.3%
- Abha v Al FaisalySaudi Pro League1-112.2%
- AS Roma v CagliariSerie A1-012.1%
- Cesena v EmpoliSerie B1-112.0%
- Oxford United v Stockport CountyLeague One1-112.0%
- Sevilla v OsasunaLa Liga1-111.8%
- Cherno More Varna v FK Septemvri SofiaParva Liga1-111.7%
- Torino v ComoSerie A1-111.7%
- Mantova v CremoneseSerie B1-111.6%
- Luton Town v Doncaster RoversLeague One1-111.6%
- AIK v IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan1-111.5%
- Hornchurch v Yeovil TownNational League1-111.5%
- Inter U23 v ScafateseSerie C, Girone C1-111.4%
- L.R. Vicenza v ModenaSerie B1-111.4%
- Barnet v York CityLeague Two1-111.4%
- Sporting CP v CS MarítimoTaça da Liga2-011.2%
- FC Halifax Town v Barrow AFCNational League1-111.1%
- Piast Gliwice v Górnik ZabrzePuchar Polski1-111.0%
- Milton Keynes Dons v BromleyLeague One1-111.0%
- AFC Fylde v Hartlepool UnitedNational League1-110.6%
- Bradford City v Peterborough UnitedCarabao Cup1-110.5%
- Woking v Boreham WoodNational League1-110.2%
- Fleetwood Town v ArsenalCarabao Cup1-110.0%
- Benevento v CatanzaroSerie B2-19.9%
- Wealdstone v Solihull MoorsNational League1-19.9%
- Landskrona BoIS v Varbergs BoISSuperettan1-19.8%
- Worthing FC v Southend UnitedNational League1-19.7%
- Tamworth v Scunthorpe UnitedNational League1-19.6%
- Boston United v GatesheadNational League1-19.6%
- 1. FC Köln v 1. FC Union BerlinDFB Pokal1-29.3%
- Motor Lublin v Raków CzęstochowaPuchar Polski1-19.1%
- Rot-Weiss Essen v RB LeipzigDFB Pokal1-29.0%
- VfL Bochum 1848 v 1. FSV Mainz 05DFB Pokal1-28.7%
- Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder BremenDFB Pokal1-18.7%
- SV 07 Elversberg v Darmstadt 98DFB Pokal1-28.5%
- Hamburger SV v Eintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal1-28.2%
- Olimpia Grudziądz v Bruk-Bet Termalica NiecieczaPuchar Polski2-18.1%
- Borussia M'gladbach v Karlsruher SCDFB Pokal1-27.9%
How we model correct score
The model builds a goal expectation for each side from expected goals, recent form and home and away scoring, then works out how probable each exact scoreline is from those two expectations. Because so many scorelines are possible, even the top pick usually sits around ten percent, and that is honest: correct score is a lottery you can tilt, not solve.
Where correct score goes wrong
A near miss still loses. Call 2-1 and watch it finish 3-1 and you were right about the winner, right about the shape of the game, and paid nothing. One late goal breaks the bet, so never lean a whole slip on it.
Correct score tips, frequently asked questions
Why is correct score so hard to win?
Because you have to predict the exact number of goals for both teams, and dozens of scorelines are possible in any match.
Are these scorelines guaranteed?
No. They are the single most likely scoreline the model sees, usually around a one in ten chance, not a certainty.
How are these predictions made?
By a data model, not by opinion or inside information. Read the full methodology.
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