Livescore44

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1

ES Métlaoui vs Stade Tunisien Prediction: a draw

Our model makes ES Métlaoui vs Stade Tunisien a draw, with a most likely score of 0-0 and high confidence at 3760%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomedraw
Predicted score0-0
Confidencehigh (3760%)

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 28 percent ES Métlaoui, 38 percent the draw and 34 percent Stade Tunisien. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 0.8 goals from ES Métlaoui and 0.9 from Stade Tunisien, a combined 1.7, which is a low total and argues against the goals markets. The most likely exact scoreline is 0-0, though at 18.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

ES Métlaoui win2840%
Draw3760%
Stade Tunisien win3400%

Expected goals

ES MétlaouiES Métlaoui0.80
Stade TunisienStade Tunisien0.88

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.