Brackley Town vs Chelmsford City Prediction: a narrow Brackley Town win

The prediction

Every market we call on this match

• Brackley Town or Chelmsford CityDouble chance tips today72%1.39

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 36 percent Brackley Town, 28 percent the draw and 36 percent Chelmsford City. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Brackley Town or Chelmsford City at 72 percent. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities