FK Teplice vs SK Sigma Olomouc Prediction: a narrow FK Teplice win

The prediction

Every market we call on this match

• Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
• Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.6%9.43

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 36 percent FK Teplice, 28 percent the draw and 36 percent SK Sigma Olomouc. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from FK Teplice and 1.4 from SK Sigma Olomouc, a combined 3.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Over 8.5 corners at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Expected goals

FK Teplice1.72

SK Sigma Olomouc1.41

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.