Havant & Waterlooville vs Chippenham Town Prediction: a narrow Havant & Waterlooville win

The prediction

Every market we call on this match

• Havant & Waterlooville or Chippenham TownDouble chance tips today75%1.33

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 41 percent Havant & Waterlooville, 25 percent the draw and 34 percent Chippenham Town. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Havant & Waterlooville or Chippenham Town at 75 percent. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities