Buxton FC vs South Shields Prediction: a narrow Buxton FC win

The prediction

Both teams to score priced 62%.

Every market we call on this match

• Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
• Buxton FC or South ShieldsDouble chance tips today75%1.33
• Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today62%1.61

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Buxton FC at 45 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, Buxton FC or South Shields at 75 percent and Both teams to score at 62 percent. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities