Livescore44

FA Cup

Chorley FC vs Worcester City Prediction: a narrow Chorley FC win

Our model makes Chorley FC vs Worcester City a narrow Chorley FC win and high confidence at 5910%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Chorley FC win
Confidencehigh (5910%)
Market we would callChorley FC to win

Chorley FC favoured at 59%.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 207 wins and 94 losses from 301 settled picks, a 68.8% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Chorley FC at 59 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Chorley FC or draw at 82 percent, Chorley FC (draw no bet) at 77 percent and Chorley FC to win at 59 percent. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Chorley FC win5910%
Draw2280%
Worcester City win1810%
Full match page: lineups, stats and live scorePremier League hub: table, fixtures and resultsToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.