Farnborough vs Uxbridge Prediction: a narrow Farnborough win

The prediction

Farnborough favoured at 66%.

Every market we call on this match

• Farnborough or drawDouble chance tips today84%1.19
• Farnborough (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today81%1.23
• Farnborough to winMatch result tips today66%1.52

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Farnborough at 66 percent, with the draw at 18 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Farnborough or draw at 84 percent, Farnborough (draw no bet) at 81 percent and Farnborough to win at 66 percent. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities