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Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Prediction: a narrow Independiente Santa Fe win
Our model makes Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima a narrow Independiente Santa Fe win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and high confidence at 4050%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Every market we call on this match
- Independiente Santa Fe (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.9%7.75
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Independiente Santa Fe at 41 percent, with the draw at 31 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Independiente Santa Fe and 1.0 from Deportes Tolima, a combined 2.3, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Independiente Santa Fe (draw no bet) at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.