Livescore44

Serie C, Girone C

Inter U23 vs Monopoli Prediction: a narrow Inter U23 win

Our model makes Inter U23 vs Monopoli a narrow Inter U23 win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and high confidence at 3900%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Inter U23 win
Predicted score1-1
Confidencehigh (3900%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 207 wins and 94 losses from 301 settled picks, a 68.8% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 39 percent Inter U23, 30 percent the draw and 31 percent Monopoli. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Inter U23 and 1.0 from Monopoli, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Inter U23 (draw no bet) at 65 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Inter U23 win3900%
Draw2990%
Monopoli win3110%

Expected goals

Inter U23Inter U231.43
MonopoliMonopoli1.01

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.