Kettering Town vs Worcester City Prediction: a narrow Kettering Town win

The prediction

Model backs Over 2.5 at 63%.

Every market we call on this match

• Kettering Town or Worcester CityDouble chance tips today75%1.33
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today63%1.59

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 41 percent Kettering Town, 25 percent the draw and 34 percent Worcester City. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Kettering Town or Worcester City at 75 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 63 percent. It does not publish a pick on match result and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities