Livescore44

FA Cup

Leiston vs Coventry United Prediction: a narrow Leiston win

Our model makes Leiston vs Coventry United a narrow Leiston win and high confidence at 5470%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Leiston win
Confidencehigh (5470%)

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Leiston at 55 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Leiston or draw at 78 percent and Leiston (draw no bet) at 71 percent. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Leiston win5470%
Draw2330%
Coventry United win2210%
Full match page: lineups, stats and live scorePremier League hub: table, fixtures and resultsToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.