Livescore44

Serie C, Girone B

Pescara vs Ostiamare Prediction: a narrow Pescara win

Our model makes Pescara vs Ostiamare a narrow Pescara win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and high confidence at 5820%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Pescara win
Predicted score1-1
Confidencehigh (5820%)
Market we would callPescara to win

Pescara favoured at 58% — model xG 1.6 vs 1.3.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 222 wins and 94 losses from 316 settled picks, a 70.3% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Pescara at 58 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Pescara and 1.3 from Ostiamare, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Pescara or draw at 82 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 63 percent and Pescara to win at 58 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Pescara win5820%
Draw2380%
Ostiamare win1800%

Expected goals

PescaraPescara1.62
OstiamareOstiamare1.30

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.