Livescore44

FA Cup

Spalding United vs Alvechurch FC Prediction: a narrow Spalding United win

Our model makes Spalding United vs Alvechurch FC a narrow Spalding United win and high confidence at 5610%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Spalding United win
Confidencehigh (5610%)
Market we would callSpalding United to win

Spalding United favoured at 56%.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 207 wins and 94 losses from 301 settled picks, a 68.8% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Spalding United at 56 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Spalding United or draw at 81 percent, Spalding United (draw no bet) at 75 percent and Spalding United to win at 56 percent. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Spalding United win5610%
Draw2480%
Alvechurch FC win1910%
Full match page: lineups, stats and live scorePremier League hub: table, fixtures and resultsToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.