Worcester City vs Knowle FC Prediction: a narrow Worcester City win

The prediction

Worcester City favoured at 57%.

Every market we call on this match

• Worcester City or drawDouble chance tips today79%1.27
• Worcester City (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today73%1.37
• Worcester City to winMatch result tips today57%1.75

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Worcester City at 57 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Worcester City or draw at 79 percent, Worcester City (draw no bet) at 73 percent and Worcester City to win at 57 percent. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities