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Taça de Portugal

ACDR Lamelas vs Vitória SC Prediction: a narrow Vitória SC win

Our model makes ACDR Lamelas vs Vitória SC a narrow Vitória SC win and high confidence at 9130%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Vitória SC win
Confidencehigh (9130%)
Market we would callVitória SC to win

Vitória SC favoured at 91%.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 207 wins and 94 losses from 301 settled picks, a 68.8% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Vitória SC at 91 percent, with the draw at 6 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Vitória SC to win at 85 percent, Vitória SC or draw at 85 percent and Vitória SC (draw no bet) at 85 percent. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

ACDR Lamelas win230%
Draw630%
Vitória SC win9130%
Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.