Livescore44

Serie C, Girone C

Audace Cerignola vs Savoia 1908 Prediction: a narrow Audace Cerignola win

Our model makes Audace Cerignola vs Savoia 1908 a narrow Audace Cerignola win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and high confidence at 5270%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Audace Cerignola win
Predicted score1-1
Confidencehigh (5270%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 222 wins and 94 losses from 316 settled picks, a 70.3% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Audace Cerignola at 53 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from Audace Cerignola and 1.1 from Savoia 1908, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Audace Cerignola or draw at 79 percent and Audace Cerignola (draw no bet) at 74 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Audace Cerignola win5270%
Draw2580%
Savoia 1908 win2150%

Expected goals

Audace CerignolaAudace Cerignola1.83
Savoia 1908Savoia 19081.05

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.