Barton Town vs Chorley FC Prediction: a narrow Chorley FC win

The prediction

Chorley FC favoured at 65%.

Every market we call on this match

• Chorley FC or drawDouble chance tips today83%1.20
• Chorley FC (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today79%1.27
• Chorley FC to winMatch result tips today65%1.54
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today65%1.54

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Chorley FC at 65 percent, with the draw at 18 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Chorley FC or draw at 83 percent, Chorley FC (draw no bet) at 79 percent and Chorley FC to win at 65 percent. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities