Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley Prediction: a narrow Bedford Town win

The prediction

Model backs Over 2.5 at 65%.

Every market we call on this match

• Bedford Town or drawDouble chance tips today79%1.27
• Bedford Town (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today73%1.37
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today65%1.54
• Bedford Town to winMatch result tips today57%1.75

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Bedford Town at 57 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Bedford Town or draw at 79 percent, Bedford Town (draw no bet) at 73 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 65 percent. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities