Chesham United vs Real Bedford Prediction: a narrow Chesham United win

The prediction

Model backs Over 2.5 at 63%.

Every market we call on this match

• Chesham United or drawDouble chance tips today76%1.32
• Chesham United (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today68%1.47
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today63%1.59

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Chesham United at 51 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Chesham United or draw at 76 percent, Chesham United (draw no bet) at 68 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 63 percent. It does not publish a pick on match result and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities