Deportivo de A Coruña vs Real Betis Prediction: a narrow Deportivo de A Coruña win

The prediction

Every market we call on this match

• Deportivo de A Coruña or Real BetisDouble chance tips today75%1.33
• Deportivo de A Coruña (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today63%1.59
• Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
• Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.5%8.70

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Deportivo de A Coruña at 47 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Deportivo de A Coruña and 1.2 from Real Betis, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Deportivo de A Coruña or Real Betis at 75 percent, Deportivo de A Coruña (draw no bet) at 63 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Expected goals

Deportivo de A Coruña1.62

Real Betis1.23

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.