Enugu Rangers International vs Abia Warriors Prediction: a Enugu Rangers International win

The prediction

Enugu Rangers International favoured at 71% — model xG 1.8 vs 0.6.

Every market we call on this match

• Enugu Rangers International or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
• Enugu Rangers International (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
• Enugu Rangers International to winMatch result tips today71%1.41
• Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today69%1.45
• Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today17.0%5.88

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Enugu Rangers International at 71 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from Enugu Rangers International and 0.6 from Abia Warriors, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Enugu Rangers International or draw at 85 percent, Enugu Rangers International (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Enugu Rangers International to win at 71 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 17.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Expected goals

Enugu Rangers International1.82

Abia Warriors0.55

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.