Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Ben Guerdane Prediction: a narrow US Ben Guerdane win
Our model makes ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Ben Guerdane a narrow US Ben Guerdane win, with a most likely score of 0-0 and high confidence at 4020%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 207 wins and 94 losses from 301 settled picks, a 68.8% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- US Ben Guerdane or drawDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- US Ben Guerdane (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 0-0Correct score tips today17.6%5.68
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has US Ben Guerdane at 40 percent, with the draw at 36 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 0.7 goals from ES Hammam-Sousse and 1.0 from US Ben Guerdane, a combined 1.7, which is a low total and argues against the goals markets. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: US Ben Guerdane or draw at 76 percent and US Ben Guerdane (draw no bet) at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 0-0, though at 17.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.