FC Hradec Králové vs SK Artis Brno Prediction: a narrow FC Hradec Králové win

The prediction

FC Hradec Králové favoured at 62% — model xG 1.6 vs 0.8.

Every market we call on this match

• FC Hradec Králové or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
• FC Hradec Králové (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today77%1.30
• Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
• FC Hradec Králové to winMatch result tips today62%1.61
• Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today14.3%6.99

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has FC Hradec Králové at 62 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from FC Hradec Králové and 0.8 from SK Artis Brno, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by FC Hradec Králové or draw at 85 percent, FC Hradec Králové (draw no bet) at 77 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 14.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Expected goals

FC Hradec Králové1.59

SK Artis Brno0.82

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.