FC Zlín vs SK Slavia Praha Prediction: a narrow SK Slavia Praha win

The prediction

SK Slavia Praha favoured at 63% — model xG 1.0 vs 2.0.

Every market we call on this match

• SK Slavia Praha or drawDouble chance tips today84%1.19
• SK Slavia Praha (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today79%1.27
• Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today65%1.54
• SK Slavia Praha to winMatch result tips today63%1.59
• Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.8%10.20

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has SK Slavia Praha at 63 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.0 goals from FC Zlín and 2.0 from SK Slavia Praha, a combined 3.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by SK Slavia Praha or draw at 84 percent, SK Slavia Praha (draw no bet) at 79 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 65 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Expected goals

FC Zlín1.03

SK Slavia Praha2.03

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.