Guiseley vs Bradford Park Avenue Prediction: a narrow Guiseley win

The prediction

Model backs Over 2.5 at 61%.

Every market we call on this match

• Guiseley or drawDouble chance tips today78%1.28
• Guiseley (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today71%1.41
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today61%1.64
• Guiseley to winMatch result tips today55%1.82

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Guiseley at 55 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Guiseley or draw at 78 percent, Guiseley (draw no bet) at 71 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 61 percent. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities