Kano Pillars vs Enyimba Prediction: a narrow Kano Pillars win

The prediction

Kano Pillars favoured at 63% — model xG 1.7 vs 0.8.

Every market we call on this match

• Kano Pillars or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
• Kano Pillars (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today82%1.22
• Kano Pillars to winMatch result tips today63%1.59
• Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today60%1.67
• Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today14.5%6.90

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Kano Pillars at 63 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Kano Pillars and 0.8 from Enyimba, a combined 2.5, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Kano Pillars or draw at 85 percent, Kano Pillars (draw no bet) at 82 percent and Kano Pillars to win at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 14.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Expected goals

Kano Pillars1.72

Enyimba0.75

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.