Sheppey United vs Chertsey Town Prediction: a narrow Chertsey Town win

The prediction

Model backs Over 2.5 at 63%.

Every market we call on this match

• Chertsey Town or drawDouble chance tips today80%1.25
• Chertsey Town (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today75%1.33
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today63%1.59
• Chertsey Town to winMatch result tips today60%1.67

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Chertsey Town at 60 percent, with the draw at 20 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Chertsey Town or draw at 80 percent, Chertsey Town (draw no bet) at 75 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 63 percent. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities