Sporting Gijón vs Albacete Balompié Prediction: a narrow Sporting Gijón win

The prediction

Every market we call on this match

• Sporting Gijón or drawDouble chance tips today78%1.28
• Sporting Gijón (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today70%1.43
• Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
• Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.2%8.93

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Sporting Gijón at 53 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Sporting Gijón and 1.1 from Albacete Balompié, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Sporting Gijón or draw at 78 percent, Sporting Gijón (draw no bet) at 70 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Expected goals

Sporting Gijón1.73

Albacete Balompié1.11

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.