Tadley Calleva FC vs Dartford Prediction: a narrow Dartford win

The prediction

Dartford favoured at 70%.

Every market we call on this match

• Dartford or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
• Dartford (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
• Dartford to winMatch result tips today70%1.43
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today63%1.59

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Dartford at 70 percent, with the draw at 19 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Dartford or draw at 85 percent, Dartford (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Dartford to win at 70 percent. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities