Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Liaoning Tieren FC Prediction: a narrow Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win

The prediction

Every market we call on this match

• Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or Liaoning Tieren FCDouble chance tips today73%1.37
• Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today73%1.37
• Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
• Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.5%9.52

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at 45 percent, with the draw at 27 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and 1.1 from Liaoning Tieren FC, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or Liaoning Tieren FC at 73 percent, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (draw no bet) at 73 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Expected goals

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1.87

Liaoning Tieren FC1.12

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.