Truro City vs Cirencester Town Prediction: a narrow Truro City win

The prediction

Truro City favoured at 77%.

Every market we call on this match

• Truro City or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
• Truro City (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
• Truro City to winMatch result tips today77%1.30
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today66%1.52

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Truro City at 77 percent, with the draw at 15 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Truro City or draw at 85 percent, Truro City (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Truro City to win at 77 percent. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities