FA Cup
AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe Prediction: a narrow Morecambe win
Our model makes AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe a narrow Morecambe win and high confidence at 5520%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 61%.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 207 wins and 94 losses from 301 settled picks, a 68.8% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- Morecambe or drawDouble chance tips today78%1.28
- Morecambe (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today72%1.39
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today61%1.64
- Morecambe to winMatch result tips today55%1.82
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Morecambe at 55 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, Morecambe or draw at 78 percent and Morecambe (draw no bet) at 72 percent. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.