Eintracht Braunschweig vs SG Dynamo Dresden Prediction: a narrow SG Dynamo Dresden win

The prediction

Both teams to score priced 64% — both attacks priced to score (xG 2.2 / 2.1).

Every market we call on this match

• Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today82%1.22
• Eintracht Braunschweig or SG Dynamo DresdenDouble chance tips today74%1.35
• Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today74%1.35
• Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today64%1.56
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today61%1.64
• Correct score 2-2Correct score tips today7.2%13.89

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 34 percent Eintracht Braunschweig, 26 percent the draw and 40 percent SG Dynamo Dresden. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 2.2 goals from Eintracht Braunschweig and 2.1 from SG Dynamo Dresden, a combined 4.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 82 percent, Eintracht Braunschweig or SG Dynamo Dresden at 74 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 74 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-2, though at 7.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Expected goals

Eintracht Braunschweig2.21

SG Dynamo Dresden2.12

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.