Salisbury vs Dulwich Hamlet Prediction: a narrow Salisbury win

The prediction

Salisbury favoured at 70%.

Every market we call on this match

• Salisbury or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
• Salisbury (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
• Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
• Salisbury to winMatch result tips today70%1.43
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today61%1.64

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Salisbury at 70 percent, with the draw at 18 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Salisbury or draw at 85 percent, Salisbury (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities