Thame United vs Exmouth Town Prediction: a narrow Thame United win

The prediction

Model backs Over 2.5 at 61%.

Every market we call on this match

• Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
• Thame United or Exmouth TownDouble chance tips today78%1.28
• Thame United (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today69%1.45
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today61%1.64
• Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today60%1.67

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Thame United at 54 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, Thame United or Exmouth Town at 78 percent and Thame United (draw no bet) at 69 percent. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities