Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus Prediction: a narrow Karlsruher SC win

The prediction

Model backs Over 2.5 at 70% — combined xG 3.9.

Every market we call on this match

• Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
• Karlsruher SC or drawDouble chance tips today78%1.28
• Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today76%1.32
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today70%1.43
• Karlsruher SC (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today66%1.52
• Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today66%1.52
• Karlsruher SC to winMatch result tips today55%1.82
• Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today8.4%11.90

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Karlsruher SC at 55 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 2.3 goals from Karlsruher SC and 1.6 from Energie Cottbus, a combined 3.9, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Seven markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, Karlsruher SC or draw at 78 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 76 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 8.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Expected goals

Karlsruher SC2.26

Energie Cottbus1.65

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.