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Örebro SK vs Falkenbergs FF Prediction: a narrow Örebro SK win

Our model makes Örebro SK vs Falkenbergs FF a narrow Örebro SK win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Örebro SK win
Predicted score1-1
Confidencelow (42%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 272 wins and 136 losses from 408 settled picks, a 66.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Örebro SK at 42 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Örebro SK and 1.7 from Falkenbergs FF, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Örebro SK or Falkenbergs FF at 74 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 66 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Örebro SK win42%
Draw26%
Falkenbergs FF win32%

Expected goals

Örebro SKÖrebro SK1.57
Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF1.73

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.