Superettan
Östersunds FK vs Nordic United FC Prediction: a narrow Östersunds FK win
Our model makes Östersunds FK vs Nordic United FC a narrow Östersunds FK win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and low confidence at 58%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Östersunds FK favoured at 58% — model xG 1.7 vs 1.3.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 272 wins and 136 losses from 408 settled picks, a 66.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Östersunds FK or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today67%1.49
- Östersunds FK to winMatch result tips today58%1.72
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.1%9.01
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Östersunds FK at 58 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Östersunds FK and 1.3 from Nordic United FC, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Östersunds FK or draw at 82 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 67 percent and Östersunds FK to win at 58 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.1 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.