RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction: a narrow RB Leipzig win

The prediction

Model backs Over 2.5 at 73% — combined xG 3.6.

Every market we call on this match

• Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
• RB Leipzig or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
• RB Leipzig (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today73%1.37
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today73%1.37
• Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today64%1.56
• Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today64%1.56
• RB Leipzig to winMatch result tips today62%1.61
• Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.3%10.75

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has RB Leipzig at 62 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.2 goals from RB Leipzig and 1.4 from Eintracht Frankfurt, a combined 3.6, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Seven markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, RB Leipzig or draw at 82 percent and RB Leipzig (draw no bet) at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Expected goals

RB Leipzig2.21

Eintracht Frankfurt1.39

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.