Livescore44

Brasileirão Serie A

Remo vs Botafogo Prediction: a narrow Botafogo win

Our model makes Remo vs Botafogo a narrow Botafogo win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Botafogo win
Predicted score1-1
Confidencelow (38%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 265 wins and 135 losses from 400 settled picks, a 66.3% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 35 percent Remo, 27 percent the draw and 38 percent Botafogo. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Remo and 1.4 from Botafogo, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Remo or Botafogo at 73 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Remo win35%
Draw27%
Botafogo win38%

Expected goals

RemoRemo1.33
BotafogoBotafogo1.39

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreSerie A hub: table, fixtures and resultsToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.