SK Rapid Wien vs TSV Hartberg Prediction: a comfortable SK Rapid Wien win

The prediction

SK Rapid Wien favoured at 73% — model xG 3.0 vs 0.9.

Every market we call on this match

• SK Rapid Wien or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
• SK Rapid Wien (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
• Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
• SK Rapid Wien to winMatch result tips today73%1.37
• Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today69%1.45
• Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today68%1.47
• Correct score 2-0Correct score tips today8.8%11.36

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has SK Rapid Wien at 73 percent, with the draw at 17 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 3.0 goals from SK Rapid Wien and 0.9 from TSV Hartberg, a combined 3.9, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by SK Rapid Wien or draw at 85 percent, SK Rapid Wien (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0, though at 8.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Expected goals

SK Rapid Wien2.98

TSV Hartberg0.94

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.