Brasileirão Serie B
Sport Recife vs Criciúma Prediction: a narrow Sport Recife win
Our model makes Sport Recife vs Criciúma a narrow Sport Recife win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
Our pre-match call, Sport Recife to win, won.
This fixture has been played. The call above was published before kickoff, and our settled picks, wins and losses, are on the public record.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 139 losses from 414 settled picks, a 66.4% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Sport Recife at 42 percent, with the draw at 29 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.2 goals from Sport Recife and 1.1 from Criciúma, a combined 2.3, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.