Scottish Premiership
Aberdeen vs Falkirk Prediction: a narrow Aberdeen win
Our model makes Aberdeen vs Falkirk a narrow Aberdeen win and low confidence at 48%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 241 wins and 121 losses from 362 settled picks, a 66.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Aberdeen or drawDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today70%1.43
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.2%8.20
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 47Tips44 Power47
- 37Tips44 Form40
- 56Tips44 Attack48
- 48Tips44 Defence52
- 50Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Falkirk to score80% recent
Falkirk scored in 8 of their last 10 (12 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Aberdeen at 48 percent, with the draw at 27 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Aberdeen and 1.3 from Falkirk FC, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Aberdeen or draw at 74 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 70 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Aberdeen. Our model gives them a 48% chance of winning, against 26% for Falkirk and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 55%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 52%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Aberdeen and 1.3 for Falkirk.
When is Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Wednesday 28 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a Scottish Premiership match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.